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Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Margin resilience despite soft sales: net sales $0.88B (-2.8% YoY) and comps -1.3%, but gross margin +100 bps to 52.0% and adjusted operating margin +90 bps to 8.5%, driving adjusted EPS up 20% YoY to $0.42 .
  • Clear beat/miss: Q2 adjusted EPS $0.42 vs $0.393 consensus (beat); revenue $883M vs $902M consensus (miss). Management cut FY25 outlook (comps flat to -1% from flat to +2%; adj op margin 8.0–8.5% from 8.5–9.0%), citing macro headwinds and FX . Consensus values marked with asterisks below (S&P Global).
  • Cash generation intact; buyback extended: Q2 operating FCF $32M; $36M debt repaid; $10M buybacks; board extended repurchase program four years with ~$501M remaining authorization .
  • Catalysts ahead: marketplace/e-commerce expansion (Uber Eats launch), LCOD adoption, and innovation (K18 at BSG) to support H2; Q3 guide: comps flat to -2%, adj op margin 8.0–8.5% .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin execution: gross margin expanded to 52.0% (+100 bps) on lower freight/distribution costs and shrink; adjusted operating margin 8.5% (+90 bps) with tight SG&A control .
    • Digital/e-comm traction: e-commerce $94M (10.7% of sales); marketplaces broadened (DoorDash, Instacart, Amazon, Walmart, and Uber Eats), supporting Sally U.S./Canada e-comm +29% YoY in Q2; LCOD consultations >4,500/week .
    • Capital allocation: $36M term loan repayment; $10M repurchases; net debt leverage ~1.8x; repurchase authorization extended to 2029 with ~$501M remaining .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top-line softness: net sales -2.8% YoY; comps -1.3% on weather, flu, wildfires and macro uncertainty; BSG comps -2.7%, average ticket -6% despite higher transactions .
    • Guidance cut: FY25 comps now flat to -1% (from flat to +2%); adj operating margin 8.0–8.5% (from 8.5–9.0%); Q3 comps flat to -2% .
    • Category mix: care declined in both segments (Sally care -8%; BSG care -5%) offsetting color strength; FX headwinds (110 bps to total company sales) .

Management quotes:

  • “We are pleased to report a third consecutive quarter of adjusted operating margin expansion and increased profitability… amidst a challenging macro backdrop.” — CEO Denise Paulonis .
  • “Our exposure to incremental tariffs is limited to about 20% of cost of goods… we expect limited to no COGS impact in FY25.” — CFO Marlo Cormier .

Financial Results

Recent quarters (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$935.0 $937.9 $883.1
GAAP Diluted EPS$0.46 $0.58 $0.38
Adjusted Diluted EPS$0.50 $0.43 $0.42
Gross Margin %51.2% 50.8% 52.0%
GAAP Operating Margin %8.8% 10.7% 7.9%
Adjusted Operating Margin %9.4% 8.4% 8.5%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %12.6% 11.7% 11.9%
Operating Free Cash Flow ($M)$73.3 $57.0 $32.2

Q2 2025 vs consensus and prior periods

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus*Surprise
Revenue ($M)$908.4 $937.9 $883.1 $901.9*Miss
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.35 $0.43 $0.42 $0.393*Beat
  • Non-GAAP adjustments: adjusted EPS/operating margin exclude Fuel for Growth/severance, HQ relocation/sale items, asset impairments, restructuring, and debt extinguishment costs; reconciliations provided in exhibits .
  • Discrepancy note: press release cites net debt leverage ~1.8x; the call transcript mentions “11.8x” which is almost certainly a transcription error; rely on press release/8-K figure .

Segment breakdown (Q2 2025)

SegmentNet Sales ($M)Comp SalesGross Margin %Op Margin %E-comm ($M, % of seg)Store Count
Sally Beauty Supply (SBS)$500.6 -0.3% 61.2% 15.4% $41, 8.2% 3,117
Beauty Systems Group (BSG)$382.6 -2.7% 39.8% 11.5% $53, 13.9% 1,329
Consolidated$883.1 -1.3% 52.0% 7.9% (GAAP); 8.5% adj $94, 10.7% 4,446

Selected KPIs (Q2 2025)

KPIQ2 2025
Global e-commerce sales$94M; 10.7% of sales
Operating Free Cash Flow$32.2M
Cash from Operations$51.1M
Inventory$1.01B
Cash & Equivalents$92M
Net Debt Leverage~1.8x
Share Repurchases$10M (1.1M shares)
Debt Repayment$36M Term Loan B
BSG Distributor Sales Consultants632

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Feb 13)Current Guidance (May 12)Change
Comparable Sales (Consolidated)FY25Flat to +2% Flat to -1% Lowered
Net Sales vs Comps (FX impact)FY25~100 bps lower than comps ~75 bps lower than comps Slightly improved FX impact
Adjusted Operating MarginFY258.5%–9.0% 8.0%–8.5% Lowered
Comparable SalesQ3 FY25Flat to -2% New
Net Sales vs Comps (FX impact)Q3 FY25~50 bps lower than comps New
Adjusted Operating MarginQ3 FY258.0%–8.5% New
Capital Deployment (Q3)Q3 FY25~$20M buybacks; ~$20M debt repayment New

Management noted limited to no FY25 tariff impact to COGS given inventory position; mitigation levers include vendor cost sharing, selective pricing, and sourcing diversification .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Digital marketplaces & e-commerceE-comm 9.8% of Q4 sales; expanding digital efforts . Q1 e-comm $99M (10.6%); strong marketplace partners (DoorDash, Instacart, Amazon, Walmart) .E-comm $94M (10.7%); added Uber Eats nationwide; Sally U.S./Canada e-comm +29% YoY in Q2 .Strengthening channel mix and reach
Licensed Colors On Demand (LCOD)>4,000 consultations/week; AOV +23% vs non-LCOD .~90 licensed colors; >4,500 consultations/week; LCOD customers spend ~25% more .Scaling adoption; higher-value customers
Tariffs/macro sensitivityFX -30 bps to Q4 sales; held gross margin . Q1 macro noise in January; reiterated FY25 targets .Macro/flu/weather pressured comps; exposure ~20% of COGS; limited/no FY25 impact expected .Near-term demand headwind; manageable cost risk
Product innovationQ4 momentum, BSG acquisition, brand expansion . Q1 announced K18 launch 4/1, plus brand pipeline .K18 off to strong start; new launches (care/color; nails, cosmetics) .Robust
Store refresh & Happy BeautyStart of Sally brand refresh; 8 Orlando pilots; Happy Beauty > holiday traction .Positive early read; >30 stores refreshed by FY-end; Happy Beauty focusing on mall locations, indie/K-beauty/fragrance .Iterating; building conviction
Gross margin driversLower freight/shrink aided Q4 . Q1 +60 bps GM on shrink, freight .+100 bps GM; lower freight/shrink, better promo strategy at Sally; strong GM profile maintained .Sustained tailwinds

Management Commentary

  • Strategic pillars: enhance customer centricity, grow high-margin owned brands, amplify innovation, improve operational efficiency .
  • Digital/marketplaces: “Our marketplace strategy is enabling us to meet our Sally customers where they are… We are excited to announce the expansion… with the strategic addition of Uber Eats.” .
  • Cost/COGS: “Exposure to incremental tariffs is limited to approximately 20% of our cost of goods… we expect limited to no cost of goods impact in fiscal year 2025.” .
  • Fuel for Growth: On track for ~$70M cumulative benefits by year-end; $20M pretax benefits delivered in 1H FY25; $45M full-year FY25 savings targeted .
  • Consumer/macro: Q2 softness tied to weather/flu/macro; improving BSG trends into Q3; cautious on consumer .

Q&A Highlights

  • Segment dynamics: Sally comps -0.3% with color strength offset by care decline; BSG comps -2.7% driven by flu/macro; BSG trends improved into April .
  • E-commerce outlook: Penetration ~11% and expected to grow with marketplace and personalization initiatives .
  • Store refresh & Happy Beauty: Early positive response; >30 stores refreshed by FY-end; Happy Beauty leaning into mall locations, indie/K-beauty, fragrance with refined marketing .
  • Tariffs: No meaningful FY25 impact; mitigation levers include vendor sharing, selective pricing, and sourcing shifts .
  • Guidance clarifications: FY25 lowered to reflect macro; Q3 comps flat to -2%, adj op margin 8.0–8.5%; planned $20M buybacks and $20M debt repayment in Q3 .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025: Adjusted EPS $0.42 vs $0.393 consensus (beat); Revenue $883M vs $902M consensus (miss). Q1 EPS was in line; Q1 revenue slightly below; Q3 consensus ahead of report was EPS $0.42 and revenue $929.3M. Values with asterisks from S&P Global.
PeriodRevenue Consensus Mean ($M)*Revenue Actual ($M)EPS Consensus Mean ($)*Adjusted EPS Actual ($)
Q1 2025943.2*937.9 0.43*0.43
Q2 2025901.9*883.1 0.393*0.42
Q3 2025929.3*0.42*

Disclaimer: Values marked with an asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: Estimate revisions likely include trimming FY25 sales growth and margin assumptions (to 8.0–8.5% adj op margin), while raising near-term EPS modestly given Q2 beat but lowering revenue tracks due to macro and FX .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality of earnings intact: margin expansion and cost discipline offset macro softness; FCF generation remains robust, enabling deleveraging and buybacks .
  • Near-term sales risk: comps pressure and FX headwinds weighed on revenue; FY25 guide reset de-risks H2 trajectory .
  • Structural drivers: color-led mix, own brands, marketplace/e-comm expansion (incl. Uber Eats), and LCOD scaling support medium-term growth and profitability .
  • Tariff overhang manageable: limited exposure (~20% of COGS) and playbook from prior cycle; minimal FY25 impact expected .
  • Watch H2 execution: K18 rollout at BSG, Sally brand refresh/store tests, and Happy Beauty refinement; monitor care category trends and ticket recovery .
  • Capital returns optionality: ~$501M remaining authorization through 2029 plus low-2x or below leverage offers support; Q3 planned ~$20M buybacks .
  • Trading lens: Stock likely trades on guidance reset vs EPS beat; catalysts include improving BSG trends, incremental marketplace penetration, and sustained gross margin strength .

Appendix: Additional Details and Reconciliations

  • Non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations (Adjusted EPS, Adjusted Operating Margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Operating FCF) are provided in the company’s exhibits .
  • Segment operating/gross margin and comps provided in schedules .
  • Board authorization extension through Sep 30, 2029 with ~$501.1M remaining under the initial 2017 authorization .